KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Bayern Munich win the cup (99%)
Resolved: Aug 22, 2026, 9:02 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 22, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Bayern Munich win the cup 99%+24.0pt
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$536.6K
Liquidity
$343K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleAug 19, 26, 8:05 PMSep 19, 26, 6:30 PM
Probability Timeline
Bayern Munich win the cup99%
Dortmund win the cup1%
99%
1%
Rules
If Dortmund advance past Bayern Munich in the Dortmund vs Bayern Munich soccer tie in the Final of the Germany Super Cup and lift the cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ESPN
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi
- If Bayern Munich advance past Dortmund in the Dortmund vs Bayern Munich soccer tie in the Final of the Germany Super Cup and lift the cup, then the market resolves to Yes.