KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: George Russell (99%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 7:55 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
George Russell 88.4%+89.0ptLeader of 22 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
54 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$86.8K
Liquidity
$82.2K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 43 minutes ago
Aug 16, 26, 11:30 PMAug 21, 26, 7:49 PM
Probability Timeline
Lando Norris1%
Max Verstappen1%
Lewis Hamilton1%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli1%
Charles Leclerc1%
Oscar Piastri1%
George Russell99%
88.4%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
If the named outcome set the fastest valid qualifying lap time in the Sprint Qualifying session (SQ3) originally scheduled for August 21, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the sprint race at the 2026 Dutch Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:FIA
- For the purposes of this market, Pole Position is awarded to the driver who records the fastest official lap time in the Sprint Qualifying session (SQ3) of the Grand Prix, as determined by the FIA’s published classification.
- If Sprint Qualifying does not progress to SQ3 (e.g., weather, red flags, or format changes), Pole Position will be awarded based on FIA’s official qualifying results for that event.
- Pole Position for this market is determined exclusively by the official Final Sprint Qualifying Classification and is not impacted by the final starting grid; any subsequent grid penalties or starting-order adjustments do not change who is deemed to have achieved Pole Position.
- Main Race qualifying sessions are not considered for this market.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Dutch Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner · George Russell 100%
