KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Aaron Rai beats McIlroy and Fox (99%)
Resolved: Sep 17, 2026, 11:46 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Aaron Rai beats McIlroy and Fox
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Probability Timeline
Rory McIlroy beats Rai and Fox1%
Aaron Rai beats McIlroy and Fox99%
Ryan Fox beats McIlroy and Rai0%
Won
Lost
Lost
Rules
If Rory McIlroy is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Rory McIlroy, Aaron Rai, and Ryan Fox in the 1st round of the 2026 BMW PGA Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tie Resolution
- If multiple participants are tied for the 3-ball lead at the end of the round:
- Yes payout: $1/N, rounded down to the nearest cent (N = number of tied participants) No payout: $1 minus the Yes payout
- Withdrawal Rule
- If a golfer withdraws prior to teeing off, all markets will resolve to fair market value.
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Frequently asked questions
- When does 1st Round 3-Ball: McIlroy/Rai/Fox resolve?
- 1st Round 3-Ball: McIlroy/Rai/Fox is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026.
- How is 1st Round 3-Ball: McIlroy/Rai/Fox settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Rory McIlroy is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Rory McIlroy, Aaron Rai, and Ryan Fox in the 1st round of the 2026 BMW PGA Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.