KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Aaron Rai beats McIlroy and Fox (99%)
Resolved: Sep 17, 2026, 11:46 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Aaron Rai beats McIlroy and Fox
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 17, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Rory McIlroy beats Rai and Fox1%
Aaron Rai beats McIlroy and Fox99%
Ryan Fox beats McIlroy and Rai0%
Aaron Rai beats McIlroy and FoxWon
Rory McIlroy beats Rai and FoxLost
Ryan Fox beats McIlroy and RaiLost
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If Rory McIlroy is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Rory McIlroy, Aaron Rai, and Ryan Fox in the 1st round of the 2026 BMW PGA Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tie Resolution
- If multiple participants are tied for the 3-ball lead at the end of the round:
- Yes payout: $1/N, rounded down to the nearest cent (N = number of tied participants) No payout: $1 minus the Yes payout
- Withdrawal Rule
- If a golfer withdraws prior to teeing off, all markets will resolve to fair market value.
