KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Natus Vincere (82%)
Resolved: Sep 20, 2026, 2:43 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Natus Vincere
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability
Natus Vincere 76.6%Vig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$11.6K
Liquidity
$8.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 25.0%
Spread
20.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 20, 26, 12:35 AM UTCSep 22, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Aurora25%
Natus Vincere82%
76.6%
23.4%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the named outcome wins map 1 in the PGL Wallachia 2026: the named outcome vs. Aurora Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 at 9:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to map 1 in the PGL Wallachia 2026: the named outcome vs. Aurora Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 at 9:00 AM EDT If the relevant match or map is postponed and not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If the relevant match is cancelled before play begins, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If the relevant map is cancelled before play begins, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If a match is forfeited before any play occurs, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If a map is forfeited before any play occurs in the map, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Natus Vincere vs. Aurora: Map 1?
- Kalshi prices Natus Vincere at 77% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Natus Vincere vs. Aurora: Map 1 resolve?
- Natus Vincere vs. Aurora: Map 1 is scheduled to resolve on September 22, 2026.
- How is Natus Vincere vs. Aurora: Map 1 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins map 1 in the PGL Wallachia 2026: the named outcome vs. Aurora Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 at 9:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.