KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Nigma Galaxy (87%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 3:57 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 3:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Nigma Galaxy 86.1%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$178K
Liquidity
$115.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
15.0% / 21.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleAug 20, 26, 6:25 PMAug 23, 26, 11:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Team Yandex14%
Nigma Galaxy87%
86.1%
13.9%
Rules
If the named outcome wins map 1 in the The International 2026: the named outcome vs. the named outcome Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to map 1 in the The International 2026: the named outcome vs. the named outcome Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT If the relevant match or map is postponed and not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If the relevant match is cancelled before play begins, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If the relevant map is cancelled before play begins, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If a match is forfeited before any play occurs, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If a map is forfeited before any play occurs in the map, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
Open markets
SportsKALSHIBMW Championship Winner
- Wyndham Clark+6.0pt17.3%
- J.J. Spaun+4.4pt12.5%
- Chris Gotterup+7.0pt12.5%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $51.9M
- 24h Vol
- $18.9M
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
- 2 Winner+50.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+52.5pt100%
- 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5+49.0pt100%
+14 more outcomes
KALSHIBMW Championship End of Round 2 Leader
- Wyndham Clark+30.0pt45%
- J.J. Spaun+12.0pt26%
- Sungjae Im+5.0pt10%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIArsenal vs Coventry
- Arsenal+15.0pt98%
- Coventry-5.0pt1%
- Tie-10.0pt1%
- Total Vol
- $3.8M
POLYMARKETCincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys
- Keys+65.5pt100%
- Completed Match+50.0pt100%
- Keys Total Sets: O/U 2.5+58.5pt100%
+13 more outcomes
POLYMARKETCincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima
- Nakashima+8.0pt72%
- Nakashima Set 1 Winner+9.0pt68%
- Nakashima Set 2 Winner+13.0pt63%
+12 more outcomes
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
- MLB: Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers (Aug 20, 2026)
- Fritz vs Nakashima
- Atlanta vs Milwaukee
- US Open Men's Singles Winner
- LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
- 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
- Arsenal vs Coventry: Total Goals
- Atlanta vs Milwaukee: First Inning Run
- EPL: 2027 Champion
- Atlanta vs Milwaukee: Total Runs
- Lopez Montagud vs Perez Contri
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Nigma Galaxy vs. Team Yandex: Map 1?
- Kalshi prices Nigma Galaxy at 86% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Nigma Galaxy vs. Team Yandex: Map 1 resolve?
- Nigma Galaxy vs. Team Yandex: Map 1 is scheduled to resolve on August 23, 2026.
- How is Nigma Galaxy vs. Team Yandex: Map 1 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins map 1 in the The International 2026: the named outcome vs. the named outcome Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.