KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Tadej Pogacar 1%Leader of 100 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$4.2K
Liquidity
$4.5K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Aug 21, 26, 4:17 PM UTCSep 23, 26, 3:20 PM UTC
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Vuelta a Espana: Stage 16 Winner
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KalshiVuelta a Espana 2026: Winner
PolymarketWill the 2026 Vuelta a Espana have 20 stages with a winner?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the Points Classification / Green Jersey at the 2026 Vuelta a Espana?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the named outcome wins Stage 17 in the 2026 Vuelta a Espana Cycling Grand Tour originally scheduled on Sep 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If || Participant || does not start, withdraws mid-race, is disqualified at any point, or fails to officially complete the race for any reason, then the market for that cyclist resolves to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Open markets
SportsKALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka+6.0pt74.5%
- Linda Noskova-5.0pt25.5%
- Total Vol
- $14.2M
- 24h Vol
- $13.1M
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $27.9M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Total Vol
- $18.1K
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28M
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Total Vol
- $2.5M
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
- US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
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- United Arab Emirates vs Bangladesh
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (Sep 7, 2026)
- MLB: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins (Sep 7, 2026)
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
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- Real Madrid vs Inter
- US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Vuelta a Espana: Stage 17 Winner?
- Kalshi prices Tadej Pogacar at 1% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Vuelta a Espana: Stage 17 Winner resolve?
- Vuelta a Espana: Stage 17 Winner is scheduled to resolve on September 23, 2026.
- How is Vuelta a Espana: Stage 17 Winner settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins Stage 17 in the 2026 Vuelta a Espana Cycling Grand Tour originally scheduled on Sep 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.