KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probabilityMathieu van der Poel 99%+86.0%Leader of 100 outcomes
Market quality
88 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$12.4K
Liquidity
$10.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleJul 3, 26, 7:45 PMAug 9, 26, 5:50 PM
Trends
99%
1%
1%
1%
3%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Volume trend
$12.4kJul 112d of dataJul 12
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If Liam Slock wins Stage 9 in the 2026 Tour de France Cycling Grand Tour originally scheduled on Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If || Participant || does not start, withdraws mid-race, is disqualified at any point, or fails to officially complete the race for any reason, then the market for that cyclist resolves to No.
- If Jordan Jegat wins Stage 9 in the 2026 Tour de France Cycling Grand Tour originally scheduled on Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Vlad van Mechelen wins Stage 9 in the 2026 Tour de France Cycling Grand Tour originally scheduled on Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Nicolas Vinokurov wins Stage 9 in the 2026 Tour de France Cycling Grand Tour originally scheduled on Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Frank van Den Broek wins Stage 9 in the 2026 Tour de France Cycling Grand Tour originally scheduled on Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.