KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 30, 2026, 8:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
B8 54.9%Vig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
B8 54.9%Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
—
Open interest unknownBid / Ask
53.0% / 58.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Sep 29, 26, 12:25 AM UTCOct 3, 26, 10:00 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 119s (informational)
Rules
If B8 wins map 1 in the Stake Ranked Episode 4 2026: B8 vs. Luminosity CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 1, 2026 at 6:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to map 1 in the Stake Ranked Episode 4 2026: B8 vs. Luminosity CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 1, 2026 at 6:00 AM EDT If the relevant match or map is postponed and not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If the relevant match is cancelled before play begins, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If the relevant map is cancelled before play begins, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If a match is forfeited before any play occurs, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If a map is forfeited before any play occurs in the map, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If a map begins and is subsequently forfeited, the market will resolve according to the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- B8
- If B8 wins map 1 in the Stake Ranked Episode 4 2026: B8 vs. Luminosity CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 1, 2026 at 6:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Luminosity
- If Luminosity wins map 1 in the Stake Ranked Episode 4 2026: B8 vs. Luminosity CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 1, 2026 at 6:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
