KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Tie (74%)
Resolved: Jul 29, 2026, 7:55 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Tie
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 29, 2026, 7:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Tie
- Recorded
- Jul 29, 2026, 8:13 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityTie 73.3%+49.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$850.1K
Liquidity
$543.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
11.0% / 12.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJul 27, 26, 3:16 AMAug 12, 26, 6:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Portsmouth11%
Farnborough16%
Tie74%
10.9%
15.8%
73.3%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$1.4k51.0%KALSHITie — Yes4h ago
KALSHITie — Yes4h ago$3.4k69.0%KALSHIFarnborough — Yes5h ago
KALSHIFarnborough — Yes5h ago$3.2k64.0%KALSHIFarnborough — Yes5h ago
KALSHIFarnborough — Yes5h ago$1.3k58.0%KALSHIFarnborough — Yes5h ago
KALSHIFarnborough — Yes5h ago$1.2k54.0%KALSHIFarnborough — Yes6h ago
KALSHIFarnborough — Yes6h agoVolume trend
$850.1kJul 282d of dataJul 29
Related Markets
Active in these topics
Related News
Polymarket odds: Kane jumps to 41% in 2026 Ballon d'Or marketBlockchain.News
Polymarket keeps Messi at 90.6% for Golden Ball after Mbappe Golden Boot leadBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices 'History' at 95% for Argentina–Spain broadcast phrase ladderBlockchain.NewsPolymarket prices Golden Ball at 50% despite Spain reaching World Cup finalBlockchain.News
Prediction markets just crushed traditional sportsbooks in a massive $50 billion World Cup breakoutCoindeskPolymarket Golden Ball odds hold at 50% as Golden Boot race heats upBlockchain.NewsRules
If Farnborough wins the Farnborough vs Portsmouth professional Club Friendlies soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the || Achievement ||.
- If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes.
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.