KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Mariano Navone (99%)
Resolved: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 31, 2026, 12:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Mariano Navone 99%+71.0pt
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$615.3K
Liquidity
$360K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 27, 26, 5:30 PMSep 13, 26, 3:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Novak Djokovic1%
Mariano Navone99%
99%
1%
Rules
If the named outcome wins set 1 in the the named outcome vs the named outcome professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ATP
- The following market refers to the the named outcome vs the named outcome professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly.
- Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange.
