KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Brandon Nakashima (26%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 9:06 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Taylor Fritz 73.5%Vig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$976.7K
Liquidity
$700.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
71.0% / 72.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 20, 26, 7:20 PMSep 4, 26, 7:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Taylor Fritz72%
Brandon Nakashima26%
73.5%
26.5%
Rules
If the named outcome wins set 1 in the the named outcome vs the named outcome professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Cincinnati Quarterfinal, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ATP
- The following market refers to the the named outcome vs the named outcome professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Cincinnati Quarterfinal.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly.
- Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange.
