Current implied probability
Before August 15, 2026 13%-36.0%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
$10.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
10.0% / 11.0%
Spread
10.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 27 minutes ago
May 19, 26, 4:00 PMJan 26, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Before August 15, 202613%
Volume trend
$1.7kJul 210d of dataJul 16
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If Carlos Alcaraz competes in an ATP Match after May 19, 2026 and before July 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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- If Carlos Alcaraz competes in an ATP Match after May 19, 2026 and before July 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Carlos Alcaraz competes in an ATP Match after May 19, 2026 and before August 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Carlos Alcaraz competes in an ATP Match after May 19, 2026 and before September 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.