KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Daniel Merida (99%)
Resolved: Sep 2, 2026, 6:02 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Daniel Merida
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
41%
SurpriseCurrent implied probability
Daniel Merida 99%+58.0pt
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$5.2M
Liquidity
$3M
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleAug 31, 26, 7:05 PMSep 2, 26, 6:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Andrey Rublev1%
Daniel Merida99%
99%
1%
Rules
If the named outcome wins the Merida vs Rublev professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ATP
- The following market refers to the Merida vs Rublev professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
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POLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev
- Rublev Set 1 O/U 9.5+45.3pt100%
- Rublev Set 1 O/U 8.5+25.6pt100%
- Rublev Set 1 O/U 10.5+69.8pt100%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Merida vs Rublev?
- Kalshi prices Daniel Merida at 99% as of September 2, 2026.
- When does Merida vs Rublev resolve?
- Merida vs Rublev is scheduled to resolve on September 2, 2026.
- How is Merida vs Rublev settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins the Merida vs Rublev professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.