KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Matteo Arnaldi (99%)
Resolved: Oct 8, 2026, 6:56 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Matteo Arnaldi
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
67%
ConsensusProbability Timeline
Bernard Tomic1%
Matteo Arnaldi99%
Matteo ArnaldiWon
Bernard TomicLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Matteo Arnaldi wins the Tomic vs Arnaldi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ATP
- The following market refers to the Tomic vs Arnaldi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Matteo Arnaldi
- If Matteo Arnaldi wins the Tomic vs Arnaldi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Bernard Tomic
- If Bernard Tomic wins the Tomic vs Arnaldi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
