KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Brandon Nakashima (49%)
Resolved: Jul 30, 2026, 5:32 PM
Provider-verified resolution
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Winning Outcome
Brandon Nakashima
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
44%
SurpriseCurrent implied probabilityJakub Mensik 51.5%-5.0pt
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$4.3M
Liquidity
$2.8M
High liquidityBid / Ask
52.0% / 53.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 29, 26, 3:06 PMAug 13, 26, 3:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Jakub Mensik52%
Brandon Nakashima49%
51.5%
48.5%
Rules
If Brandon Nakashima wins the Nakashima vs Mensik professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Washington Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Nakashima vs Mensik professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Washington Round Of 16 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
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