KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Jakub Mensik (53%)
Resolved: Jul 29, 2026, 1:42 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Jakub Mensik
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
78%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 29, 2026, 1:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Jakub Mensik
- Recorded
- Jul 29, 2026, 1:53 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityJakub Mensik 53.5%-25.0pt
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.9M
Liquidity
$1.4M
High liquidityBid / Ask
46.0% / 47.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleJul 26, 26, 8:55 PMAug 10, 26, 3:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Trevor Svajda46%
Jakub Mensik53%
46.5%
53.5%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$1.3k99.0%KALSHITrevor Svajda — No5h ago
KALSHITrevor Svajda — No5h ago$1.2k97.0%KALSHIJakub Mensik — Yes5h ago
KALSHIJakub Mensik — Yes5h ago$1.3k96.0%KALSHIJakub Mensik — Yes5h ago
KALSHIJakub Mensik — Yes5h ago$1.0k79.0%KALSHIJakub Mensik — Yes5h ago
KALSHIJakub Mensik — Yes5h ago$2.7k71.0%KALSHITrevor Svajda — No5h ago
KALSHITrevor Svajda — No5h ago$2.2k54.0%KALSHIJakub Mensik — Yes5h ago
KALSHIJakub Mensik — Yes5h ago$1.7k72.0%KALSHIJakub Mensik — Yes5h ago
KALSHIJakub Mensik — Yes5h ago$1.2k30.0%KALSHITrevor Svajda — Yes5h ago
KALSHITrevor Svajda — Yes5h agoVolume trend
$2.9MJul 264d of dataJul 29
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If Trevor Svajda wins the Svajda vs Mensik professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Washington Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Svajda vs Mensik professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Washington Round Of 32 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
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