KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Kei Nishikori (52%)
Resolved: Jul 27, 2026, 11:47 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Kei Nishikori
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
34%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 27, 2026, 10:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Kei Nishikori
- Recorded
- Jul 28, 2026, 12:08 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityKei Nishikori 52%+18.0pt
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$5.2M
Liquidity
$2.5M
High liquidityBid / Ask
51.0% / 52.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJul 26, 26, 2:05 PMAug 10, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Kei Nishikori52%
Juncheng Shang48%
52%
48%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$1.9k95.0%KALSHIKei Nishikori — Yes4h ago
KALSHIKei Nishikori — Yes4h ago$1.6k95.0%KALSHIKei Nishikori — Yes4h ago
KALSHIKei Nishikori — Yes4h ago$2.1k10.0%KALSHIKei Nishikori — No5h ago
KALSHIKei Nishikori — No5h ago$1.2k92.0%KALSHIKei Nishikori — Yes5h ago
KALSHIKei Nishikori — Yes5h ago$4.6k92.0%KALSHIKei Nishikori — Yes5h ago
KALSHIKei Nishikori — Yes5h ago$1.1k91.0%KALSHIKei Nishikori — Yes5h ago
KALSHIKei Nishikori — Yes5h ago$1.0k89.0%KALSHIKei Nishikori — Yes5h ago
KALSHIKei Nishikori — Yes5h ago$2.2k89.0%KALSHIKei Nishikori — Yes5h ago
KALSHIKei Nishikori — Yes5h agoVolume trend
$5.2MJul 263d of dataJul 28
Related Markets
Active in these topics
Related News
NFL urges CFTC to strengthen rules on sports prediction markets: reportThe Block
KuCoin Marks Major Sponsorship Milestone as Ambassador Pogačar Wins Record Fifth Tour de FranceBlockchain Reporter
Galaxy Digital’s $75 Million Texas Tech Stadium Deal Is Crypto’s Boldest Branding Bet YetBlockchain Reporter
Galaxy Digital plants its name on Texas Tech football stadiumCrypto News
Galaxy Digital puts its name on Texas Tech football stadium in 15-year partnershipThe Block
Polymarket prices Golden Ball at 50% despite Spain reaching World Cup finalBlockchain.NewsRules
If Kei Nishikori wins the Nishikori vs Shang professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Washington Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Nishikori vs Shang professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Washington Round Of 32 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.