This market resolved: Gonzalo Bueno (40%)
Resolved: Jul 21, 2026, 1:32 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Gonzalo Bueno
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 21, 2026, 1:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Gonzalo Bueno
- Recorded
- Jul 21, 2026, 1:45 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityTiago Pereira 61%+32.0%
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.5M
Liquidity
$806.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
60.0% / 61.0%
Spread
1.7%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJul 20, 26, 11:05 AMAug 4, 26, 11:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Tiago Pereira61%
Gonzalo Bueno40%
61%
40%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$2.0k84.0%
KALSHITiago Pereira — No3h ago
KALSHITiago Pereira — No3h ago$2.8k99.0%KALSHIGonzalo Bueno — Yes3h ago
KALSHIGonzalo Bueno — Yes3h ago$6.1k99.0%KALSHIGonzalo Bueno — Yes3h ago
KALSHIGonzalo Bueno — Yes3h ago$1.6k99.0%KALSHIGonzalo Bueno — Yes3h ago
KALSHIGonzalo Bueno — Yes3h ago$3.4k99.0%KALSHIGonzalo Bueno — Yes3h ago
KALSHIGonzalo Bueno — Yes3h ago$3.1k95.0%KALSHIGonzalo Bueno — Yes3h ago
KALSHIGonzalo Bueno — Yes3h ago$3.0k98.0%KALSHITiago Pereira — No3h ago
KALSHITiago Pereira — No3h ago$1.2k90.0%KALSHIGonzalo Bueno — Yes3h ago
KALSHIGonzalo Bueno — Yes3h agoVolume trend
$1.5MJul 202d of dataJul 21
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If Gonzalo Bueno wins the Bueno vs Pereira professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Estoril Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Bueno vs Pereira professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Estoril Round Of 32 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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