This market resolved: Matteo Arnaldi (98%)
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, 4:52 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Matteo Arnaldi
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Matteo Arnaldi
- Recorded
- Jul 15, 2026, 5:13 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityMatteo Arnaldi 98%
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.3M
Liquidity
$696.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
97.0% / 98.0%
Spread
1.0%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 38 minutes ago
Jul 14, 26, 7:48 PMJul 29, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Matteo Arnaldi98%
Federico Agustin Gomez2%
98%
2%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$1.3k95.0%
KALSHIMatteo Arnaldi — Yes47m ago
KALSHIMatteo Arnaldi — Yes47m ago$2.7k91.0%KALSHIMatteo Arnaldi — Yes59m ago
KALSHIMatteo Arnaldi — Yes59m ago$1.4k29.0%KALSHIFederico Agustin Gomez — Yes1h ago
KALSHIFederico Agustin Gomez — Yes1h ago$1.9k67.0%KALSHIMatteo Arnaldi — Yes1h ago
KALSHIMatteo Arnaldi — Yes1h ago$3.4k67.0%KALSHIMatteo Arnaldi — Yes1h ago
KALSHIMatteo Arnaldi — Yes1h ago$1.1k67.0%KALSHIMatteo Arnaldi — Yes1h ago
KALSHIMatteo Arnaldi — Yes1h ago$1.2k67.0%KALSHIMatteo Arnaldi — Yes1h ago
KALSHIMatteo Arnaldi — Yes1h ago$1.8k90.0%KALSHIMatteo Arnaldi — Yes2h ago
KALSHIMatteo Arnaldi — Yes2h agoVolume trend
$1.3MJul 142d of dataJul 15
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If Federico Agustin Gomez wins the Gomez vs Arnaldi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Umag Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Gomez vs Arnaldi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Umag Round Of 16 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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