KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Liam Draxl (61%)
Resolved: Aug 26, 2026, 2:37 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Liam Draxl
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 26, 2026, 2:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Liam Draxl 61%+9.0pt
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3.5M
Liquidity
$1.8M
High liquidityBid / Ask
39.0% / 41.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleAug 23, 26, 7:46 PMSep 7, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Nicolas Mejia39%
Liam Draxl61%
61%
39%
Rules
If the named outcome wins the Mejia vs Draxl professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ATP
- The following market refers to the Mejia vs Draxl professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Mejia vs Draxl?
- Kalshi prices Liam Draxl at 61% as of August 26, 2026.
- When does Mejia vs Draxl resolve?
- Mejia vs Draxl is scheduled to resolve on September 7, 2026.
- How is Mejia vs Draxl settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins the Mejia vs Draxl professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.