KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Tommy Paul (99%)
Resolved: Aug 18, 2026, 5:02 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Tommy Paul
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
81%
ConsensusCurrent implied probabilityTommy Paul 99%+18.0pt
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$8.7M
Liquidity
$3.6M
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleAug 16, 26, 3:05 PMAug 18, 26, 5:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Tommy Paul99%
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo1%
99%
1%
Rules
If Tommy Paul wins the Paul vs Vallejo professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Cincinnati Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ATP
- The following market refers to the Paul vs Vallejo professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Cincinnati Round Of 32 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
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