KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Frances Tiafoe (98%)
Resolved: Aug 17, 2026, 3:26 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 17, 2026, 3:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probabilityFrances Tiafoe 98%+36.0pt
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$4.2M
Liquidity
$2.4M
High liquidityBid / Ask
98.0% / 99.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleAug 15, 26, 3:05 PMAug 30, 26, 3:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Frances Tiafoe98%
Lorenzo Sonego2%
98%
2%
Rules
If Lorenzo Sonego wins the Sonego vs Tiafoe professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Cincinnati Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Sonego vs Tiafoe professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Cincinnati Round Of 64 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
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