KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Brandon Nakashima (96%)
Resolved: Aug 9, 2026, 12:12 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Brandon Nakashima
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
67%
ConsensusCurrent implied probabilityBrandon Nakashima 97%+28.0pt
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$7.5M
Liquidity
$2.9M
High liquidityBid / Ask
3.0% / 4.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleAug 7, 26, 4:35 PMAug 22, 26, 4:30 PM
Probability Timeline
Arthur Rinderknech3%
Brandon Nakashima96%
3%
97%
Rules
If Arthur Rinderknech wins the Rinderknech vs Nakashima professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Montreal Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Rinderknech vs Nakashima professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Montreal Round Of 16 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.