KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Frances Tiafoe -3.5 games (79%)
Resolved: Oct 9, 2026, 8:27 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Frances Tiafoe -3.5 games
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 9, 2026, 8:10 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Frances Tiafoe -3.5 games79%
Frances Tiafoe -6.5 games17%
Yannick Hanfmann -1.5 games26%
Frances Tiafoe -3.5 gamesWon
Yannick Hanfmann -1.5 gamesLost
Frances Tiafoe -6.5 gamesLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the game differential in favor of Frances Tiafoe across the full match is above 3.5 games in the Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 64, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 64. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Frances Tiafoe -3.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Frances Tiafoe across the full match is above 3.5 games in the Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 64, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yannick Hanfmann -1.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Yannick Hanfmann across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 64, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Frances Tiafoe -6.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Frances Tiafoe across the full match is above 6.5 games in the Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 64, then the market resolves to Yes.
