KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Pavel Kotov -1.5 games (82%)
Resolved: Oct 5, 2026, 10:58 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Pavel Kotov -1.5 games
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Probability Timeline
Martin Damm Jr -3.5 games27%
Pavel Kotov -1.5 games82%
Martin Damm Jr -6.5 games0%
Pavel Kotov -1.5 gamesWon
Martin Damm Jr -3.5 gamesLost
Martin Damm Jr -6.5 gamesLost
Rules
If the game differential in favor of Pavel Kotov across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Martin Damm Jr vs Pavel Kotov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Martin Damm Jr vs Pavel Kotov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 1. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Pavel Kotov -1.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Pavel Kotov across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Martin Damm Jr vs Pavel Kotov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Martin Damm Jr -3.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Martin Damm Jr across the full match is above 3.5 games in the Martin Damm Jr vs Pavel Kotov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Martin Damm Jr -6.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Martin Damm Jr across the full match is above 6.5 games in the Martin Damm Jr vs Pavel Kotov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
