KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Adrian Mannarino -1.5 games (74%)
Resolved: Jul 28, 2026, 7:17 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Adrian Mannarino -1.5 games
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Adrian Mannarino -1.5 games
- Recorded
- Jul 28, 2026, 7:37 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityAdrian Mannarino -1.5 games 74%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$11.2K
Liquidity
$9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 3.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJul 26, 26, 3:35 PMAug 10, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Learner Tien -3.5 games3%
Learner Tien -6.5 games1%
Adrian Mannarino -1.5 games74%
3%
1%
74%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Volume trend
$11.2kJul 272d of dataJul 28
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If the game differential in favor of Learner Tien across the full match is above 6.5 games in the Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tien professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Washington Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tien professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Washington Round Of 32.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly.
- Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange.