This market resolved: Aidan Mayo -4.5 games (93%)
Resolved: Jul 27, 2026, 3:22 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Aidan Mayo -4.5 games
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Aidan Mayo -4.5 games
- Recorded
- Jul 27, 2026, 3:31 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityAidan Mayo -1.5 games 99%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$19.6K
Liquidity
$13.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
95.0% / 98.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJul 26, 26, 1:25 PMAug 10, 26, 2:10 AM
Probability Timeline
Aidan Mayo -4.5 games93%
Aidan Mayo -1.5 games99%
Roger Pascual Ferra -1.5 games1%
93%
99%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Volume trend
$19.6kJul 262d of dataJul 27
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If the game differential in favor of Aidan Mayo across the full match is above 4.5 games in the Aidan Mayo vs Roger Pascual Ferra professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Los Cabos Qualification Final, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Aidan Mayo vs Roger Pascual Ferra professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Los Cabos Qualification Final.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly.
- Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange.