KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Alexandre Muller wins 2-1 (97%)
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Probability Timeline
Alexandre Muller wins 2-01%
Rio Noguchi wins 2-14%
Rio Noguchi wins 2-04%
Alexandre Muller wins 2-197%
Alexandre Muller wins 2-1Won
Rio Noguchi wins 2-1Lost
Rio Noguchi wins 2-0Lost
Alexandre Muller wins 2-0Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Alexandre Muller wins the Rio Noguchi vs Alexandre Muller professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 1 by a set score of 2-1, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ATP
- The following market refers to the Rio Noguchi vs Alexandre Muller professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 1. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Alexandre Muller wins 2-1
- If Alexandre Muller wins the Rio Noguchi vs Alexandre Muller professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 1 by a set score of 2-1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Rio Noguchi wins 2-1
- If Rio Noguchi wins the Rio Noguchi vs Alexandre Muller professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 1 by a set score of 2-1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Rio Noguchi wins 2-0
- If Rio Noguchi wins the Rio Noguchi vs Alexandre Muller professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 1 by a set score of 2-0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alexandre Muller wins 2-0
- If Alexandre Muller wins the Rio Noguchi vs Alexandre Muller professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 1 by a set score of 2-0, then the market resolves to Yes.
