KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Shintaro Mochizuki wins 2-1 (95%)
Resolved: Oct 5, 2026, 6:18 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Shintaro Mochizuki wins 2-1
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Probability Timeline
Taro Daniel wins 2-038%
Taro Daniel wins 2-16%
Shintaro Mochizuki wins 2-117%
Shintaro Mochizuki wins 2-022%
Shintaro Mochizuki wins 2-1Won
Taro Daniel wins 2-1Lost
Taro Daniel wins 2-0Lost
Shintaro Mochizuki wins 2-0Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Kyrian Jacquet vs Tianhui Zhang: Exact Match Score
KalshiCarlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar: Exact Match Score
KalshiLorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz: Exact Match Score
KalshiNovak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev: Exact Match Score
KalshiChun Hsin Tseng vs Nicolas Mejia: Exact Match Score
KalshiColeman Wong vs Cruz Hewitt: Exact Match Score
KalshiRules
If Shintaro Mochizuki wins the Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 1 by a set score of 2-1, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ATP
- The following market refers to the Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 1. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Shintaro Mochizuki wins 2-1
- If Shintaro Mochizuki wins the Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 1 by a set score of 2-1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Taro Daniel wins 2-1
- If Taro Daniel wins the Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 1 by a set score of 2-1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Taro Daniel wins 2-0
- If Taro Daniel wins the Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 1 by a set score of 2-0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Shintaro Mochizuki wins 2-0
- If Shintaro Mochizuki wins the Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 1 by a set score of 2-0, then the market resolves to Yes.
