KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Pavel Kotov wins 2-1 (93%)
Resolved: Oct 5, 2026, 10:58 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Pavel Kotov wins 2-1
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Probability Timeline
Martin Damm Jr wins 2-043%
Pavel Kotov wins 2-018%
Martin Damm Jr wins 2-16%
Pavel Kotov wins 2-115%
Pavel Kotov wins 2-1Won
Martin Damm Jr wins 2-1Lost
Martin Damm Jr wins 2-0Lost
Pavel Kotov wins 2-0Lost
Rules
If Pavel Kotov wins the Martin Damm Jr vs Pavel Kotov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 1 by a set score of 2-1, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ATP
- The following market refers to the Martin Damm Jr vs Pavel Kotov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 1. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Pavel Kotov wins 2-1
- If Pavel Kotov wins the Martin Damm Jr vs Pavel Kotov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 1 by a set score of 2-1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Martin Damm Jr wins 2-1
- If Martin Damm Jr wins the Martin Damm Jr vs Pavel Kotov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 1 by a set score of 2-1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Martin Damm Jr wins 2-0
- If Martin Damm Jr wins the Martin Damm Jr vs Pavel Kotov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 1 by a set score of 2-0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pavel Kotov wins 2-0
- If Pavel Kotov wins the Martin Damm Jr vs Pavel Kotov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 1 by a set score of 2-0, then the market resolves to Yes.
