KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Brandon Nakashima wins 2-1 (45%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 10:26 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Brandon Nakashima wins 2-1
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 10:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Taylor Fritz wins 2-1 52.5%+26.0ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$220.7K
Liquidity
$154.7K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 20, 26, 7:20 PMSep 4, 26, 7:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Taylor Fritz wins 2-037%
Brandon Nakashima wins 2-018%
Taylor Fritz wins 2-152%
Brandon Nakashima wins 2-145%
52.5%
45.5%
1%
1%
Rules
If Taylor Fritz wins the Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Cincinnati Quarterfinal by a set score of 2-0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ATP
- The following market refers to the Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Cincinnati Quarterfinal.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly.
- Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange.
