KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Mili Poljicak (87%)
Resolved: Jul 31, 2026, 6:07 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probabilityMili Poljicak 87.9%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$5.5M
Liquidity
$2.6M
High liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 13.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJul 31, 26, 3:10 AMAug 14, 26, 3:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Alexandre Muller12%
Mili Poljicak87%
12.1%
87.9%
Rules
If Alexandre Muller wins the Muller vs Poljicak professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger San Marino Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Muller vs Poljicak professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger San Marino Quarterfinal after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
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