This market resolved: Jan Choinski (99%)
Resolved: Jul 27, 2026, 2:12 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Jan Choinski
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 27, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Jan Choinski
- Recorded
- Jul 27, 2026, 2:32 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityJan Choinski 97.1%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$384.7K
Liquidity
$225.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
98.0% / 99.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleJul 27, 26, 12:10 AMAug 10, 26, 12:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Jan Choinski99%
Francesco Passaro3%
97.1%
2.9%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$2.4k97.0%
KALSHIJan Choinski — Yes7h ago
KALSHIJan Choinski — Yes7h ago$2.4k97.0%KALSHIFrancesco Passaro — No7h ago
KALSHIFrancesco Passaro — No7h ago$2.2k95.0%KALSHIFrancesco Passaro — No7h ago
KALSHIFrancesco Passaro — No7h ago$2.3k95.0%KALSHIFrancesco Passaro — No7h ago
KALSHIFrancesco Passaro — No7h ago$2.3k95.0%KALSHIJan Choinski — Yes7h ago
KALSHIJan Choinski — Yes7h ago$2.2k95.0%KALSHIJan Choinski — Yes7h ago
KALSHIJan Choinski — Yes7h ago$1.5k98.0%KALSHIJan Choinski — Yes7h ago
KALSHIJan Choinski — Yes7h ago$2.3k96.0%KALSHIJan Choinski — Yes7h ago
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If Jan Choinski wins the Choinski vs Passaro professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Bonn Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Choinski vs Passaro professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Bonn Round Of 32 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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