This market resolved: Matthew William Donald (99%)
Resolved: Jul 26, 2026, 12:02 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 26, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Matthew William Donald
- Recorded
- Jul 26, 2026, 12:33 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityMatthew William Donald 99%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$198.2K
Liquidity
$130.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleJul 25, 26, 10:20 PMAug 9, 26, 10:10 AM
Probability Timeline
Christopher Thies1%
Matthew William Donald99%
1%
99%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$2.7k97.0%
KALSHIMatthew William Donald — Yesyesterday
KALSHIMatthew William Donald — Yesyesterday$2.5k95.0%KALSHIChristopher Thies — Noyesterday
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If Christopher Thies wins the Thies vs Donald professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Bonn Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Thies vs Donald professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Bonn Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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