KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Renta Tokuda (41%)
Resolved: Jul 28, 2026, 1:09 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Renta Tokuda
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 28, 2026, 12:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Renta Tokuda
- Recorded
- Jul 28, 2026, 1:26 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityJoshua Sheehy 59%+21.0pt
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.3M
Liquidity
$531.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
40.0% / 44.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated yesterday
StaleJul 26, 26, 7:30 AMAug 9, 26, 7:20 PM
Probability Timeline
Renta Tokuda41%
Joshua Sheehy59%
41%
59%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$2.1k51.0%KALSHIJoshua Sheehy — Noyesterday
KALSHIJoshua Sheehy — Noyesterday$2.5k53.0%KALSHIRenta Tokuda — Yesyesterday
KALSHIRenta Tokuda — Yesyesterday$1.8k46.0%KALSHIRenta Tokuda — Yesyesterday
KALSHIRenta Tokuda — Yesyesterday$1.5k49.0%KALSHIRenta Tokuda — Noyesterday
KALSHIRenta Tokuda — Noyesterday$1.5k46.0%KALSHIJoshua Sheehy — Yesyesterday
KALSHIJoshua Sheehy — Yesyesterday$2.8k73.0%KALSHIRenta Tokuda — Noyesterday
KALSHIRenta Tokuda — Noyesterday$1.0k85.0%KALSHIJoshua Sheehy — Yesyesterday
KALSHIJoshua Sheehy — YesyesterdayVolume trend
$1.3MJul 263d of dataJul 28
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KALSHIActive in these topics
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If Joshua Sheehy wins the Sheehy vs Tokuda professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Vancouver Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Sheehy vs Tokuda professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Vancouver Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
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