This market resolved: Keegan Smith (99%)
Resolved: Jul 22, 2026, 7:02 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Keegan Smith
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 22, 2026, 6:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Keegan Smith
- Recorded
- Jul 22, 2026, 7:14 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityMario Gonzalez Fernandez 1%
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$197.3K
Liquidity
$125.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
100.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJul 22, 26, 5:10 AMAug 5, 26, 5:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez1%
Keegan Smith99%
1%
99%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$1.5k98.0%
KALSHIKeegan Smith — Yes3h ago
KALSHIKeegan Smith — Yes3h ago$1.6k99.0%KALSHIKeegan Smith — Yes3h ago
KALSHIKeegan Smith — Yes3h ago$1.2k99.0%KALSHIMario Gonzalez Fernandez — No3h ago
KALSHIMario Gonzalez Fernandez — No3h ago$3.0k99.0%KALSHIMario Gonzalez Fernandez — No3h ago
KALSHIMario Gonzalez Fernandez — No3h ago$2.0k98.0%KALSHIKeegan Smith — Yes3h ago
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If Mario Gonzalez Fernandez wins the Gonzalez Fernandez vs Smith professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Segovia Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Gonzalez Fernandez vs Smith professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Segovia Round Of 16 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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