KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Alan Magadan (83%)
Resolved: Aug 19, 2026, 5:42 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Alan Magadan
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
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Current implied probabilityAlan Magadan 82.2%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3.1M
Liquidity
$1.8M
High liquidityBid / Ask
17.0% / 18.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleAug 19, 26, 1:50 AMSep 2, 26, 2:20 AM
Probability Timeline
Rio Noguchi18%
Alan Magadan83%
17.8%
82.2%
Rules
If Alan Magadan wins the Magadan vs Noguchi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Cancun Qualifying after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ATP
- The following market refers to the Magadan vs Noguchi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Cancun Qualifying after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
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