KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Spencer Johnson (81%)
Resolved: Aug 7, 2026, 9:51 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Spencer Johnson
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 7, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probabilitySpencer Johnson 79.4%Vig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.9M
Liquidity
$1.2M
High liquidityBid / Ask
81.0% / 83.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleAug 7, 26, 6:10 AMAug 21, 26, 6:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Spencer Johnson81%
Andres Martin21%
79.4%
20.6%
Rules
If Spencer Johnson wins the Johnson vs Martin professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Lexington Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Johnson vs Martin professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Lexington Quarterfinal after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
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