KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Jay Friend (79%)
Resolved: Aug 4, 2026, 10:22 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Jay Friend
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probabilityJay Friend 73.8%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.6M
Liquidity
$721.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
74.0% / 80.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleAug 4, 26, 5:30 AMAug 18, 26, 5:20 PM
Probability Timeline
Jay Friend79%
Colton Smith28%
73.8%
26.2%
Rules
If Jay Friend wins the Friend vs Smith professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Lexington Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Friend vs Smith professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Lexington Round Of 32 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
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