KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Oskari Paldanius (88%)
Resolved: Aug 2, 2026, 11:12 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Oskari Paldanius
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 2, 2026, 11:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probabilityOskari Paldanius 87.1%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$645.2K
Liquidity
$372.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 13.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleAug 1, 26, 9:10 PMAug 16, 26, 9:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Leo Raquillet13%
Oskari Paldanius88%
12.9%
87.1%
Rules
If Oskari Paldanius wins the Paldanius vs Raquillet professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Paldanius vs Raquillet professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
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