KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Jamie Mackenzie (93%)
Resolved: Aug 1, 2026, 5:12 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Jamie Mackenzie
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 1, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probabilityJamie Mackenzie 92.1%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.1M
Liquidity
$844.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleAug 1, 26, 1:30 AMAug 15, 26, 1:20 PM
Probability Timeline
Max Dahlin8%
Jamie Mackenzie93%
7.9%
92.1%
Rules
If Jamie Mackenzie wins the Mackenzie vs Dahlin professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Bonn Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Mackenzie vs Dahlin professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Bonn Semifinal after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
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