KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 29, 2026, 3:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probabilityAbove 4.060 99%Leader of 17 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$285.1K
Liquidity
$195K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 28, 26, 12:00 PMJul 29, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
99%
99%
99%
52%
2%
22%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$1.0k99.0%KALSHIAbove 4.140 — No15h ago
KALSHIAbove 4.140 — No15h agoVolume trend
$285.1kJul 282d of dataJul 29
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If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.060 on Jul 29, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.065 on Jul 29, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.070 on Jul 29, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.075 on Jul 29, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.080 on Jul 29, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.085 on Jul 29, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.