Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Sep 8, 2026, 3:31 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Dortmund 55%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.8K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 7:00 PM UTCSep 10, 26, 7:00 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Villarreal vs Dortmund
- If Dortmund wins the UEFA Champions League match between Dortmund and Villarreal originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Champions League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Dortmund is 55%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Dortmund 55% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF · BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 53%
- Also available on Futuur — Borussia Dortmund vs. Villarreal · Borussia Dortmund 54%
- Also available on Limitless — UCL, Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal · Borussia Dortmund 54%
- Also available on Kalshi — Dortmund vs Villarreal · Dortmund 54%
Open markets
Sports
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Villarreal vs Dortmund?
- Gemini prices Dortmund at 55% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Villarreal vs Dortmund resolve?
- Villarreal vs Dortmund is scheduled to resolve on September 10, 2026.
- How is Villarreal vs Dortmund settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Villarreal vs Dortmund
- Where else is Villarreal vs Dortmund listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Futuur, Limitless, Kalshi.