GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 6, 2026, 2:56 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Oregon wins by more than 11.5 points 51%
Oregon wins by more than 11.5 points 51%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
49.0% / 53.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 10, 26, 8:00 PM UTCOct 11, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Trends
Oregon wins by more than 11.5 points51%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
What will the point difference be?
- This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Oregon in the entire college football game between UCLA and Oregon scheduled for 2026-10-10 at 3:00 p.m. CT is above 11.5.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Oregon's score minus UCLA's score) for the specified game.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — UCLA vs Oregon: Spread · Oregon wins by over 2.5 points 78%
