GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
TCU 61.1%
TCU 61.1%Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.8K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
60.0% / 61.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 26, 26, 7:30 PM UTCSep 27, 26, 7:30 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market resolves to Yes if TCU wins the College Football game between TCU and UCF originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 3:30 PM.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event .
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NCAA_FBS_Win-Loss_23ef351f-7ee0-4503-a740-5da5c95d4b2c.pdf).
- This market resolves to Yes if UCF wins the College Football game between UCF and TCU originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 3:30 PM.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for TCU is 61%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference TCU 61% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — TCU vs UCF · TCU 61%
- Also available on Polymarket — TCU vs. UCF · TCU vs. UCF: O/U 29.5 — Over 93%
