Current implied probability
St. Louis 53%
St. Louis 53%Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.8K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
52.0% / 54.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Oct 3, 26, 1:00 AM UTCOct 4, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
the named outcome vs Dallas
- If the named outcome wins the Pro Hockey game between the named outcome and Dallas originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NHL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for St. Louis is 55%. The venue spread is about 2 percentage points.
CoinRithm reference St. Louis 55% · 2 venues · 2 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — St. Louis vs Dallas · St. Louis 54%