Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 12, 2026, 3:28 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Reg Time: Los Angeles G wins by more than 1.5 goals 27%
Reg Time: Los Angeles G wins by more than 1.5 goals 27%Market quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
25.0% / 29.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Oct 18, 26, 2:30 AM UTCOct 19, 26, 2:30 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
What will the goal difference be?
- If LA Galaxy beats San Diego FC by more than 1.5 goals in the Major League Soccer scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (LA Galaxy's goals minus San Diego FC's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).
