GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Los Angeles L wins by more than 2.5 points 71%Leader of 11 outcomes
Los Angeles L wins by more than 2.5 points 71%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$4.4K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Oct 9, 26, 2:30 AM UTCOct 10, 26, 2:30 PM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold Markets2027 Pro Basketball Champion
KalshiRules
What will the point difference be?
- This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Los Angeles L in the entire NBA game between Sacramento and Los Angeles L scheduled for 2026-10-08 at 9:30 p.m. CT is above 2.5.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Los Angeles L's score minus Sacramento's score) for the specified game.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NBA), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NBA_Spread_Class_98459f6c-7941-4c33-9bc5-7202c53df230.pdf).