Current implied probability
Ottawa 57.6%Vig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Ottawa 57.6%Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$42.6
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
55.0% / 58.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Oct 8, 26, 11:00 PM UTCOct 10, 26, 11:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Philadelphia vs Ottawa
- If Ottawa wins the Pro Hockey game between Ottawa and Philadelphia originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NHL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Ottawa is 57%. The venue spread is about 2 percentage points.
CoinRithm reference Ottawa 57% · 2 venues · 2 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Philadelphia vs Ottawa · Ottawa 57%