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Probability Timeline
Ohio State wins by more than 2.5 points100%
Ohio State wins by more than 16.5 points100%
Ohio State wins by more than 14.5 points100%
Ohio State wins by more than 11.5 points100%
Ohio State wins by more than 20.5 points0%
Ohio State wins by more than 24.5 points0%
Ohio State wins by more than 35.5 points0%
Ohio State wins by more than 1.5 points100%
Ohio State wins by more than 21.5 points0%
Iowa wins by more than 7.5 points0%
Ohio State wins by more than 7.5 points100%
Ohio State wins by more than 3.5 points100%
Ohio State wins by more than 10.5 points100%
Ohio State wins by more than 17.5 points0%
Ohio State wins by more than 13.5 points100%
Ohio State wins by more than 9.5 points100%
Iowa wins by more than 10.5 points0%
Iowa wins by more than 4.5 points0%
Iowa wins by more than 1.5 points0%
Iowa wins by more than 2.5 points0%
Iowa wins by more than 5.5 points0%
Ohio State wins by more than 23.5 points0%
Ohio State wins by more than 33.5 points0%
Ohio State wins by more than 27.5 points0%
Ohio State wins by more than 5.5 points100%
Ohio State wins by more than 4.5 points100%
Ohio State wins by more than 30.5 points0%
Iowa wins by more than 3.5 points0%
Ohio State wins by more than 6.5 points100%
Iowa wins by more than 9.5 points0%
Iowa wins by more than 6.5 points0%
Ohio State wins by more than 2.5 pointsAwaiting result
Ohio State wins by more than 16.5 pointsAwaiting result
Ohio State wins by more than 14.5 pointsAwaiting result
Ohio State wins by more than 11.5 pointsAwaiting result
Ohio State wins by more than 1.5 pointsAwaiting result
Ohio State wins by more than 5.5 pointsAwaiting result
Ohio State wins by more than 4.5 pointsAwaiting result
Ohio State wins by more than 7.5 pointsAwaiting result
Ohio State wins by more than 3.5 pointsAwaiting result
Ohio State wins by more than 10.5 pointsAwaiting result
Ohio State wins by more than 6.5 pointsAwaiting result
Ohio State wins by more than 13.5 pointsAwaiting result
Ohio State wins by more than 9.5 pointsAwaiting result
Iowa wins by more than 10.5 pointsAwaiting result
Iowa wins by more than 4.5 pointsAwaiting result
Iowa wins by more than 1.5 pointsAwaiting result
Iowa wins by more than 2.5 pointsAwaiting result
Iowa wins by more than 5.5 pointsAwaiting result
Ohio State wins by more than 20.5 pointsAwaiting result
Ohio State wins by more than 23.5 pointsAwaiting result
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsWhich Games will Ohio State Football win during the 2026 season?
Manifold MarketsRules
What will the point difference be?
- This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Iowa in the entire college football game between Ohio State and Iowa scheduled for 2026-10-03 at 2:30 p.m. CT is above 10.5.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Iowa's score minus Ohio State's score) for the specified game.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).